Monday, 08/09/2025
   

Outlook brightens for bank stocks in H2

As bank stocks continue to trade below their book value, the sector is seeing growing optimism for the second half of the year (H2).

According to data from WiChart, the price-to-book (P/B) ratio of the 27 listed banks stood at 1.51x at the end of the first quarter (Q1) of 2025, up 1 per cent from the end of 2024. WiChart is a comprehensive financial data platform, developed by WiGroup, one of the country's top providers of economic and financial data.

Among these, ABBank recorded the lowest P/B at just 0.58x as of March 31. ABBank's book value per share was approximately $0.55 according to the bank’s Q1 financial statement, while its price was only $0.32 per share at the closing trading session on March 31.

VietABank followed with the second-lowest valuation at a P/B of 0.63x, while KienlongBank ranked third with a P/B of 0.7x at the end of Q1.

Other banks in the low-valuation group included VietBank, MSB, OCB, SHB, TPBank, Bac A Bank, and VPBank. By the end of Q1, eight listed banks had P/B ratios at or below 1.0x.

On the opposite end, bank stocks trading at over 2.0x book value included Vietcombank, LPBank, and National Citizen Bank (NCB).

NCB's P/B surged 26 per cent since the start of the year, marking the second-highest increase in the sector after SHB.

According to NCB’s Q1 financial report, its book value per share was approximately $0.40, while the market price on March 31 was $0.46 per share.

At OCB's AGM in late April, shareholders questioned why the bank’s stock price remained stagnant.

The bank’s chairman, Trinh Van Tuan, attributed the underperformance to stock trading below book value, lagging behind industry peers.

As of the closing trading session on May 10, OCB's P/B stood at just 0.82x, compared to the average 1.25x for private banks, implying a 35 per cent discount. He acknowledged that the stock price had been affected by an underwhelming business performance.

“OCB is implementing a series of measures to enhance financial health, improve operations, and rebuild investor confidence. These initiatives aim to position OCB among the most efficient banks in the industry,” said Tuan.

As of the end of Q1, OCB's total assets had grown 3 per cent from the beginning of the year to $11.56 billion, with pre-tax profit reaching $35.72 million, and core operations maintaining solid momentum.

Meanwhile, Techcombank, MBBank, and ACB maintained strong profitability with high return on assets. Despite this, their stock valuations remain modest, with P/B ratios below the sector average and five-year averages, offering attractive investment opportunities.

In 2024, banking stocks outperformed the VN-Index significantly, and analysts at VinaCapital expect this trend to continue in 2025, driven by strong earnings growth and low valuations.

However, stock performance is likely to diverge across banks due to significant differences in valuation, asset quality, and profit growth.

According to FiinTrade, a major financial data analysis platform, the risk of narrowing net interest margin remains, especially for state-owned banks, as the government maintains stable interest rate policies to support economic growth.

The slow recovery in credit demand also limits banks’ ability to raise lending rates, amid fears of losing market share in an increasingly competitive environment.

Consequently, credit expansion, rather than margin improvements, will continue to be the primary growth driver for the banking sector in the forthcoming quarters.

  • Banking on advice to boost financial futures

    Banking on advice to boost financial futures

    Many commercial banks, with extensive customer bases, transparent transaction data and widespread branch networks, have trialled wealth management models offering investment consulting, insurance and financial planning services to VIP clients.

  • Government-backed STEM loans launched by VBSP

    Government-backed STEM loans launched by VBSP

    Vietnam Bank for Social Policies (VBSP) is introducing preferential loans to STEM students as part of efforts to build a stronger science and technology workforce.

  • S&P upgrades ratings of three banks, citing resilient economy

    S&P upgrades ratings of three banks, citing resilient economy

    The agency raised Vietcombank to BB+, Techcombank to BB and Eximbank to BB-, with stable outlooks, while upgrading Việt Nam’s BICRA to group 8 from 9.

  • Interest rate developments applied by credit institutions in July 2025

    Interest rate developments applied by credit institutions in July 2025

    State Bank of Vietnam has just released the interest rate developments of credit institutions in July 2025.

  • SBV's Action Plan on improving social policy credit in the new period

    SBV's Action Plan on improving social policy credit in the new period

    On August 27, 2025, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) issued the Action Plan of the Banking sector to implement Decision No. 1560/QD-TTg dated July 18, 2025 of the Prime Minister promulgating the Plan to implement Directive No. 39-CT/TW dated October 30, 2024 of the Central Party Secretariat on improving the effectiveness of social policy credit in the new period (Decision No. 3061/QD-NHNN).

  • Vietnamese banks standing strong although risks remain

    Vietnamese banks standing strong although risks remain

    Vietnam’s banking sector has been a key facilitator as well as beneficiary of the country’s robust economic growth. We forecast total system outstanding loans to double by the end of this year relative to five years ago. This makes Vietnam the second-largest banking system in ASEAN by assets, ahead of other larger and higher-income economies.

  • Vietnamese banks get ready to join crypto asset market

    Vietnamese banks get ready to join crypto asset market

    The newly issued Law on Digital Technology Industry will take effect from January 1 and is considered an important milestone, ending many years of legal ambiguity on issues related to crypto assets.

  • Credit trends set tone for key sectors

    Credit trends set tone for key sectors

    Credit across the banking system has surged at an unusually high pace this year, with a significant share directed towards real estate and securities, raising concerns over the sustainability of growth.

  • New chapter arrives for digital asset firms

    New chapter arrives for digital asset firms

    Opportunities for international collaboration and attractive growth potential have turned the Vietnamese cryptocurrency market into a vibrant playground.

  • Shinhan Bank expresses gratitude to business customers with free Ting Ting speakers

    Shinhan Bank expresses gratitude to business customers with free Ting Ting speakers

    Shinhan Bank Vietnam Ltd. (“Shinhan Bank”) has launched the “Customer Appreciation Day for Business Customers” across all 55 branches and transaction offices nationwide, featuring a free giveaway of Ting Ting Speakers. This initiative is dedicated to expressing gratitude to individual business owners, household businesses, private enterprises, and SMEs that have accompanied the Bank throughout the years.

Calculate deposit interest
VNĐ
%/year
month
Calculate deposit interest

Loan calculation
VNĐ
%/year
month
Loan calculation